Research / BFI Working PaperMar 01, 2019

Leverage-Induced Fire Sales and Stock Market Crashes

Jiangze Bian, Zhiguo He, Kelly Shue, Hao Zhou

We provide direct evidence of leverage-induced fire sales contributing to a market crash using account-level trading data for brokerage- and shadow-financed margin accounts during the Chinese stock market crash of 2015. Margin investors heavily sell their holdings when their account-level leverage edges toward their maximum leverage limits, controlling for stock-date and account fixed effects. Stocks that are disproportionately held by accounts close to leverage limits experience high selling pressure and abnormal price declines which subsequently reverse. Unregulated shadow-financed mar-gin accounts, facilitated by FinTech lending platforms, contributed more to the crash despite their smaller asset holdings relative to regulated brokerage accounts.

More Research From These Scholars

BFI Working Paper Nov 18, 2021

An Economic Model of Consensus on Distributed Ledgers

Hanna Halaburda, Zhiguo He, Jiasun Li
Topics:  Financial Markets
BFI Working Paper Nov 10, 2021

Intermediation via Credit Chains

Zhiguo He, Jian Li
Topics:  Financial Markets