Research / BFI Working Paper•Oct 19, 2022

In Victory or Defeat: Consumption Responses to Wealth Shocks

Alex Imas, Tse-Chun Lin, Yan Luo, Xiaohuan Wang

Using a novel representative sample of digital payment data, we observe a robust U-shaped relationship between individual investors’ monthly entertainment-related consumption and stock market returns in the previous month. Contrary to the prediction of the wealth effect, individuals increase their entertainment-related consumption after experiencing large positive and negative stock market shocks. We show that the latter effect, termed “financial retail therapy,” is consistent with a dynamic model of Prospect Theory, and provide further evidence for it in a controlled laboratory experiment. Finally, we show that our results are not driven by income effects or wealth shock measurement errors.

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