Research / BFI Working PaperMar 01, 2019

Leverage-Induced Fire Sales and Stock Market Crashes

Jiangze Bian, Zhiguo He, Kelly Shue, Hao Zhou

We provide direct evidence of leverage-induced fire sales contributing to a market crash using account-level trading data for brokerage- and shadow-financed margin accounts during the Chinese stock market crash of 2015. Margin investors heavily sell their holdings when their account-level leverage edges toward their maximum leverage limits, controlling for stock-date and account fixed effects. Stocks that are disproportionately held by accounts close to leverage limits experience high selling pressure and abnormal price declines which subsequently reverse. Unregulated shadow-financed mar-gin accounts, facilitated by FinTech lending platforms, contributed more to the crash despite their smaller asset holdings relative to regulated brokerage accounts.

More Research From These Scholars

BFI Working Paper Jun 15, 2020

Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis

Zhiguo He, Stefan Nagel, Zhaogang Song
Topics:  COVID-19, Financial Markets
White Paper Apr 27, 2020

Post-Lockdown Economic Recovery in China: February and March

Qin Chen, Zhiguo He, Chang-Tai Hsieh, Zheng Michael Song
Topics:  COVID-19
White Paper Jun 19, 2020

Post-Lockdown Economic Recovery in China: April and May

Qin Chen, Zhiguo He, Chang-Tai Hsieh, Zheng Michael Song
Topics:  COVID-19